Geopolitical tensions, opec news, and the oil price: A Granger causality analysis
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
OPEC news announcements: Effects on oil price expectation and volatility
a r t i c l e i n f o JEL classifications: C51 N70 Keywords: Crude oil price volatility GARCH Covariates Modified dummy variables OPEC announcements WTI crude oil Several times a year, OPEC hosts conferences among its members to agree on further oil production policies. Prior to OPEC conferences, there is usually rampant speculation about which decision concerning world oil production levels (n...
متن کاملHistorical and Variance Decomposition for Oil Price, Oil Consumption, OPEC and Non-OPEC Oil Production
Abstract I n this paper, the behavior of the real oil price and OPEC and non-OPEC oil production during 1973-2013 are modelled. Interactions among OPEC, non-OPEC oil production, global oil consumption, and the real price of crude oil are estimated using a Structural VAR model (SVAR). After providing evidence for the structural breaks in oil price in 1996, the results indicate that, ac...
متن کاملFiber-centered Granger Causality Analysis
Granger causality analysis (GCA) has been well-established in the brain imaging field. However, the structural underpinnings and functional dynamics of Granger causality remain unclear. In this paper, we present fibercentered GCA studies on resting state fMRI and natural stimulus fMRI datasets in order to elucidate the structural substrates and functional dynamics of GCA. Specifically, we extra...
متن کاملFiber-Centered Granger Causality Analysis
Granger causality analysis (GCA) has been well-established in the brain imaging field. However, the structural underpinnings and functional dynamics of Granger causality remain unclear. In this paper, we present fiber-centered GCA studies on resting state fMRI and natural stimulus fMRI datasets in order to elucidate the structural substrates and functional dynamics of GCA. Specifically, we extr...
متن کاملSemi-parametric estimation of the strategic goods (OPEC oil price)
In the global economy, crude oil is among the most important strategic goods that affects the performance of local and international markets. Prediction of the oil price has always been an important challenging topic in the global economy and producers and consumers have constantly been trying to improve their roll in the oil price changes and for many years OPEC has been one of the key players...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Revista de análisis económico
سال: 2020
ISSN: 0718-8870
DOI: 10.4067/s0718-88702020000200057